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Weekly Chart: How Latino Votes Break Down along Party Lines

March 02, 2016

A map in which Texas is blue: Democrats won 62% of Latino votes there on Super Tuesday.
Latinos are three times more committed to the Democratic Party than the GOP.
Worth repeating: if you want the Latino vote, talk about jobs and the economy.

Latinos are the fastest-growing voting demographic in the United States, and projected to reach 27.3 million-strong this year. As of March 2 in this primary season, over 1 million Latinos have voted and they’re turning out in much larger numbers for Democrats than Republicans: 64 percent to 36 percent. Based on exit polls and vote counts, we projected how many Latinos participated in the primary contests, and from that, the rate at which they’re turning out for each party.




Exit polls haven’t been released for some states that held caucuses on March 1, Super Tuesday—notably Colorado, where Latinos make up 21 percent of the swing state’s population.

If current frontrunners Hillary Clinton Republican and Donald Trump snag the nominations and the Latino vote proves as decisive as it has in the past, the GOP is in trouble: 81 percent of Latino voters view Trump unfavorably per a Washington Post/Univision poll released in February. Meanwhile Clinton enjoys high favorable ratings from the demographic. Below, we take a look at key findings from the 1,200-person survey.


Pablo Medina Uribe contributed to this article.