Poll Tracker: Brazil’s 2026 Presidential Election

This poll tracker was originally published on February 11, 2026, and has since been updated.

A rematch of sorts is on in Brazil’s 2026 presidential race. Incumbent leftist President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (2003–2011, 2023–present) of the Workers’ Party (PT) is running for an unprecedented fourth term at the age of 80. His foe in the last election, ex-President Jair Bolsonaro (2019–2023), is ineligible to run after being indicted and imprisoned in September for plotting a coup.

But the Bolsonaro name will still be on the ballot. The ex-president endorsed one of his sons, Senator Flávio Bolsonaro, as candidate for Liberal Party (PL) to carry the family flag of his far-right movement. Brazil's electorate is polarized, though topics such a foreign policy and Supreme Court ethics are shifting voter intention.

Lula and Bolsonaro are not the only candidates in the field, which was finalized on August 15, when 13 candidates confirmed registration. While career politicians such as ex-Governor of Goiás Ronaldo Caiado (2019–2026) of the center-right Social Democratic Party (PSD) battle for attention with other conservatives like Governor of Minas Gerais Romeu Zema (2019–2026) of the NOVO party, unknown candidates from much smaller parties are using online strategies to become more known by voters. Renan Santos, an anti-establishment activist, has seen his support grow among young Brazilians. And doctor and self-help author Augusto Cury, in his first foray into elected politics, has risen 20 points in polls in two weeks, after adding over 2 million followers on his social media channels. The campaign period ends October 3.

Ahead of the October 4 first round, how are Brazil’s 156 million voters viewing the contest?