Poll Tracker: Brazil’s 2026 Presidential Election

This poll tracker was originally published on February 11, 2026, and has since been updated.

Brazil’s 2026 presidential race between incumbent leftist President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (2003–2011, 2023–present) of the Workers’ Party (PT) and the current leader of the far-right movement Senator Flávio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party (PL), sat at a technical tie just two weeks before the first-round vote, as polls show a calcified polarization and mistrust in candidates among voters. The two leading candidates, Lula, running for an unprecedented fourth term at the age of 80, and Bolsonaro, carrying the family flag of his far-right movement after his father ex-President Jair Bolsonaro (2019–2023) became ineligible to run after being convicted of plotting a coup, both have high rejection rates of around 50 percent.

Topics such as foreign policy and a scandal involving Supreme Court ethics are heating Brazilians’ feelings about the race but seem to be reinforcing polarization. 

Lula and Bolsonaro are not the only candidates in the field; all told there are 13 candidates registered. While career politicians such as ex-Governor of Goiás Ronaldo Caiado (2019–2026) of the Social Democratic Party (PSD) battle for attention with fellow conservatives like Governor of Minas Gerais Romeu Zema (2019–2026) of the NOVO party, candidates from smaller parties are using online strategies to gain visibility. Renan Santos, an anti-establishment activist, has seen his support grow among young voters. And doctor and self-help author Augusto Cury, who is making his first foray into elected politics, rose in the polls after adding over 2 million social media followers.

Ahead of the October 4 first round, how are Brazil’s 156 million voters viewing the contest?