Poll Tracker: The U.S. Latino Vote in the 2026 Midterms

In 2024, Donald Trump reached his highest level of support among Latino voters: 48 percent, up from 32 percent four years prior. That surge, particularly pronounced among Latinos living along Texas-Mexico border region, was one of several factors that helped him regain control of the White House.

Now, Trump’s party will face an electoral test on November 3 when U.S. voters cast ballots in midterm elections that will see the entire 435-member House of Representatives and one-third of the 100-member Senate up for grabs. Republicans control both chambers, which has allowed them to usher through much of the president’s agenda and block measures to check his power. 

The Democrats hope to deepen their benches in both houses. Latino voters could be critical to that effort. In the 2025 gubernatorial elections in New Jersey and Virginia, Democratic candidates erased Trump’s 2024 gains with Latino voters. And in Texas, where Democrats will try to flip a Senate seat, Latino turnout spiked in the March primaries, with most participating in the Democratic contest.

How might Latino voters, now 15 percent of the national electorate, approach the midterms? How does this bloc view the second Trump term? And how does the panorama change among Latinos in different parts of the United States? AS/COA Online looks to polling for answers.