Poll Tracker: Peru's 2026 Presidential Election

By Khalea Robertson

Keiko Fujimori is waiting to see if she will compete against leftist Roberto Sánchez or conservative Rafael López Aliaga.

This article was originally published on February 11 and has since been updated. 

Peru’s pollsters find themselves in an unusual predicament. Weeks have passed since the April 12–13 first-round vote, and official results remain pending, leaving the country’s 27.3 million eligible voters waiting for the final determination of who will compete in the June 7 presidential runoff.  

One thing is for certain: Keiko Fujimori, leader of the conservative People’s Force, will be on the second-round ballot—and for the fourth time. The daughter of former authoritarian President Alberto Fujimori (1990–2000) topped a 35-candidate field to secure the top spot with  a 17 percent share of valid votes.

But, amid an election plagued by logistical failures and a lethargic vote count, a hair divides the two ideologically opposed candidates hoping to secure the second spot on the ballot. As of May 11, leftist congressman Roberto Sánchez of Together for Peru (JP) had the tiny edge. Sánchez, endorsed by imprisoned ex-President Pedro Castillo (2021–2022), inherited much of the former leader’s voter base in the rural and highland regions of Central and South Peru. He earned roughly 12 percent in the first round. 

But so did Lima Mayor Rafael López Aliaga (2023–2025) of the Popular Renewal party (RP). Also known as “Porky,” the politician and businessman’s style has drawn comparisons with U.S. President Donald Trump. López Aliaga, who has cried fraud, trailed Sánchez by just 15,000 votes as of May 11.  

Whoever wins the runoff will be sworn in on July 28 to replace interim President José María Balcázar. Under these unprecedented conditions, pollsters are seeking to take the voter pulse and measure potential head-to-head scenarios.  

Runoff polling
 
First-round polling

This was the poll tracker for the first-round vote. It was originally published on February 11 and last updated on April 10. 

 

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