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Chart: The Changing Latino Vote

November 08, 2018

3% = Democrat gains among Latino voters in the 2018 midterms compared to 2016 elections 1% = Republican gains among Latinos in the same time period A look at the shifting Latino vote:
Did Democrats improve among Latino voters in the U.S. midterms? Yes and no. They made small gains with Latinas, but lost ground with Latino men to Republicans. We compare the Latino vote in 2016 and 2018, with a special look at Florida and Texas.

In the November 6 midterm elections, Democrats took control of the U.S. House of Representatives, picking up close to 30 seats. Where did that support come from? It’s a mixed bag, especially when looking along race and gender lines. Of white, black, and Latino men and women, white men made the biggest shift to the left, though they also are starting on the farthest right of the political spectrum.

Party gains among Latino voters were more modest when compared to other groups. Latino men in Florida are one of the most conservative minority groups in the country, and Latina women in Texas got more conservative this time around.

We take a look at how Latino voters shifted their party preferences from 2016 to 2018, focusing on races in Florida and Texas in particular, where the Latino population is substantial (15 percent of the voting population in Florida and 26 percent in Texas) and the support runs across the aisle.