Poll Tracker: Honduras' 2025 Presidential Election

For nearly three years, Hondurans have been living under a state of exception the government implemented to decrease gang violence, but voters are more worried about jobs than crime, per polling. On November 30, they get the chance to pick the next leader they believe is best equipped to handle their concerns. 

Around 6.5 million Hondurans are eligible to cast ballots to elect the president, along with all 128 members of the unicameral congress, 298 mayors, and over 2,000 municipal councilors. More than a third of eligible voters are concentrated in the districts hosting the two largest cities: the capital of Tegucigalpa and the industrial hub of San Pedro Sula. As a society with a history of northward migration tied to issues of poverty, violence, and climate disasters, around 6 percent of the electorate resides in the United States.

There are five options on the presidential ballot—down from 15 in the 2021 election—and polls identify three frontrunners but no clear favorite. Honduras' Constitution does not allow for reelection, so current President Xiomara Castro (2022–present), who has an approval rating of 64 percent per an April survey, is not on the ballot. Instead, her left-of-center Libre party has chosen Castro's former Finance (2022–2024) and Defense Secretary (2024–2025) Rixi Moncada as its candidate. Salvador Nasralla, who was Castro’s first vice president until stepping down last year, is the Liberals’ candidate. The third main contender is Nasry “Tito” Asfura of the conservative National Party, once led by ex-President Juan Orlando Hernández (2014–2022). A U.S. court convicted Hernández of drug trafficking in 2024. This is Asfura’s second and Nasralla’s fourth consecutive run for president. In 2021, Nasralla abandoned his bid weeks before the election to join Castro’s ticket. The two remaining hopefuls poll below 4 percent. 

The victor of this single-round presidential election will begin a four-year term on January 27. 

AS/COA Online compiles polling on Honduran voters' feelings toward their presidential candidates and top concerns about their country as they head to the polls.