LatAm in Focus: A Crack in U.S.-Colombia Cooperation

Colombian President Gustavo Petro speaking at a rally in New York. (AP)

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LatAm in Focus: A Crack in U.S.-Colombia Cooperation

By Carin Zissis

Sergio Guzmán of Colombia Risk Analysis speaks on the bilateral relationship as the Andean country’s 2026 elections approach.

Colombia has long been considered a close U.S. ally in Latin America. For years, the two countries have collaborated on anti-trafficking efforts, democracy promotion, and development.

But two recent episodes have called into question the durability of the U.S.-Colombia relationship. On September 16, the U.S. government decertified Colombia as a partner in the war against drugs for the first time since 1997 as the Andean country faces record high cocaine production. Later that month, the State Department revoked the visa of Colombian President Gustavo Petro after comments he made at a rally on the sidelines of the UN General Assembly in New York where he encouraged U.S. soldiers to disobey orders.

Are U.S.-Colombia bonds at a breaking point?

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Sergio Guzmán
Sergio Guzmán

“The U.S. administration...is looking at the relationship as something that will transcend Petro and that is far too important to sour,” assured Sergio Guzmán, director of Colombia Risk Analysis. In a conversation with AS/COA Online’s Carin Zissis, he explains these recent challenges come as Colombia nears the end of an era. Petro’s term ends next year.

With presidential elections scheduled for May, Colombians are considering what leadership they want for their country as it faces a destabilizing security situation, a widening fiscal deficit, a struggling healthcare system, and, yes, tension with the United States. Those elections will be complicated, explains Guzmán, given that there are roughly 75 potential candidates for president. Petro may not boast high approval levels at 37 percent, but he maintains a solid base. Combine that with a crowded field, a victory is up for grabs, says Guzmán.

"The Colombian electorate doesn't yet appear to know what it's looking for in a successor."

“There needs to be a strong period of reflection in our body politic about the future. And that can't happen with 39 political parties. That can't happen with a very fragmented field of candidates. That can't happen when you lift a cup and there's a Colombian presidential candidate announcing that they're running,” he said.

Guzmán digs into how to make sense of the large field, what the Petro-Trump rift may mean for the election, and China-U.S competition in the country.

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This episode was produced by Chase Harrison with executive producer Luisa Leme. Additional production support was provided by Rafael de Osma. Article text by Chase Harrison. Carin Zissis is the host.

Send us feedback at latamfocus@as-coa.org. Subscribe on Apple, Spotify, YouTube, or wherever you listen to podcasts. The music in the podcast is by Jacarandá Dúo and Angélica Achury for Americas Society.

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Hear more of Guzmán’s commentary in Latin America in Focus episodes on Colombia’s 2023 midterms and 2021 election tickets.

Opinions expressed in this podcast do not necessarily reflect those of Americas Society/Council of the Americas or its members.

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