Venezuela Isn’t on Track for 2024 Elections

By Guillermo Zubillaga

Widespread expectations for political opening in exchange for sanctions relief ignore a difficult global landscape and enduring crisis at home.

Correction appended below. Given the way that some in Venezuela and in the international community have been talking about the country lately, you’d be forgiven for thinking that events were shaping up for the country to have a free and fair presidential election in 2024. “Maduro is 100% defeatable,” said Juan Guaidó in January, referring to 2024 election prospects. Elections in 2024 represent the international consensus solution to Venezuela’s legitimacy crisis. But the fact is that for this to be a truly realistic goal, much more progress should have been made by this point....

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