Guatemala Nears a Pivotal Moment on Taiwan
The next administration will face strong incentives from China to ditch Taiwan. The U.S. has an opportunity to step in.
After months of political drama, Guatemala’s President-elect Bernardo Arévalo still faces an entrenched political elite intent on derailing him. If he takes office on January 14, another political battle with outsized geopolitical consequences looms—Guatemala’s diplomatic ties with Taiwan. Arévalo has said he does not intend to cut Guatemala’s longstanding ties with Taiwan, and his choice of Carlos Ramírez Martínez as foreign minister signals continuity. But Arévalo has also said he wants to increase trade with mainland China, and he is likely to discover that Beijing will...
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