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Poll Update: Former Uruguayan President Leads ahead of Runoff

Thursday, November 13, 2014

Ahead of Uruguay’s November 30 presidential runoff, the country's ruling Broad Front maintains its advantage in the polls. During the first round on October 26, this party won around 48 percent of the vote, compared to about 31 percent for the second-place National Party. Now, Vázquez stands poised to take the country's highest office once again.

A November 12 Cifra poll gave the Broad Party's ex-President Tabaré Vázquez 52 percent and the National Party's Luis Lacalle Pou 35 percent. The survey found that 6 percent say they will cast a null or blank vote, while 7 percent are undecided.

Similarly, an Equipos Mori poll released the same day showed Vázquez with 52 percent and Lacalle Pou at 39 percent. Since the November 6 survey by the same pollster, Vázquez lost one point, while Lacalle Pou gained one point. Around 4 percent are undecided, and 5 percent plan to vote null or blank.

Finally, a Factum poll released November 11 shows that Vázquez leads with 52 percent, with Lacalle Pou at 37 percent. Around 5 percent are undecided, and 6 percent plan to vote null or blank. This represents a one-point increase for Lacalle Pou since Factum's November 4 survey, and no change for Vázquez. 

Factum found that Vázquez has an advantage among young voters and those with elementary and high-school education. Lacalle Pou leads among older voters and those with college degrees.