Poll Tracker: Bolivia's 2025 Presidential Election

A few days after Bolivia celebrates the bicentennial of its independence, voters will head to the polls on August 17 to pick the country’s next president. Nine candidates are vying for the five-year term, with no poll indicating that anyone has over 25 percent support and undecided voters standing as the largest segment. The election comes amid an economic crisis for the country—with record high inflation and shortages of basic goods.

To avoid a second round on October 19, a candidate would need more than 50 percent of the vote or 40 percent with 10 percent more than any other hopeful. As of now, two of the biggest names in the country’s politics are out of the running: President Luis Arce (2020–present) and his former mentor, ex-President Evo Morales (2006–2019), who have been engaged in a protracted feud. Arce heads the party once led by Morales, the Movement for Socialism (MAS), which has ruled the country since 2005 except for 12 months in 2019–2020. During that period, Morales’ victory in the 2019 presidential election was annulled and Senator Jeanine Áñez assumed the interim presidency until a 2020 election, which Arce won.

In this race, several candidates are running in opposition to the MAS tenure. That includes businessman and former Minister of Planning Samuel Doria Medina of the National Unity Front, ex-President Jorge “Tuto” Quiroga (2001–2002) of the Revolutionary Left Front, and Mayor of Cochabamba Manfred Reyes Villa of Autonomy for Bolivia, who is running on the right with a focus on law and order. Other candidates are running more aligned with the MAS, including the party’s candidate Eduardo del Castillo, a former minister of government under Arce, as well as two independents, Senate President Andrónico Rodríguez and Mayor of El Alto Eva Copa.

Who is leading the race? How do voters feel about each candidate? AS/COA Online tracks polling.