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Can Venezuela Move Beyond Crisis?

By Jason Thomson

Venezuela is suffering chronic shortages of food and medicine—something that is also the result of past policies that discouraged production, comments AS/COA’s Eric Farnsworth.

What is the current situation?

Venezuela is a “mono-product economy,” relying on oil and gas for 95 percent of its export revenue. The crash in the price of oil – from more than $100 per barrel in 2014 to a low of about $30 per barrel earlier this year – has thus deeply affected the country’s ability to finance imports.

This led to the world’s highest inflation rate in 2015 – about 275 percent – and the International Monetary Fund is predicting it will surpass 1,600 percent next year. For those living in Venezuela, that means a life dominated by “standing in ... lines, waiting for basic commodities – if they’re even there,” says Eric Farnsworth, vice president of the Council of the Americas, who is based in Washington. The country is suffering chronic shortages of food and medicine – something that is also the result of past policies that discouraged production….

… Still, the country holds much promise: It has the world’s largest proven oil reserves, and its population is well educated. With these resources, and a shift in policies, its prospects could change, although probably not overnight.

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